Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

271.33 – 174.5

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

101 – 326

Prediction missed · off by 160.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 363.7 ±15.6

8805NKST36

Provisional

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 14.96Rank 40Record 1-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7183W.A.R.

Season APEX 278.7Event APEX 223.22Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4585Husky Robotics

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 33.15Rank 33Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381.7 ±15.6

3243Amperes

Season APEX 219.5Event APEX 75.87Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7906Underdogs

Provisional

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 31.86Rank 19Record 5-4-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

4175Coded Summit

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 66.77Rank 22Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8805, 7183, 4585

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.3 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 8805, 7183, 4585

Auto

24.0 9%

Teleop

157.5 61%

Endgame

77.6 30%

Strengths

· 7183 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3243, 7906, 4175

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.5 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 3243, 7906, 4175

Auto

25.4 15%

Teleop

97.9 57%

Endgame

48.3 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.29 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score271.3pts

Blue projected score174.5pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 96.8
Score range: 141–305
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 427 vs event baseline 189.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

363.7Season APEX381.7

24Auto25.4

157.5Teleop97.9

77.6Endgame48.3

35Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	62
teleop	45	195
endgame	44	69
foul	0	0
total	101	326

Result

Final score

101 – 326

Prediction missed · off by 160.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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