Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

462.45 – 94.83

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

414 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 31.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 787.8 ±9.8

7183W.A.R.

Season APEX 278.7Event APEX 235.05Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 146.13Rank 8Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3243Amperes

Season APEX 219.5Event APEX 81.27Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 259.7 ±16.5

3166Rooks

Provisional

Season APEX 50.3Event APEX 38.19Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10988Desert Storm

Season APEX 167.1Event APEX 57.76Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10933Tie Dye Samurai

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX -1.12Rank 39Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7183, 2122, 3243

/ 100 compat

Projected

462.5 pts

~2.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 7183, 2122, 3243

Auto

46.0 10%

Teleop

283.0 61%

Endgame

133.8 29%

Strengths

· 7183 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3166, 10988, 10933

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.8 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3166, 10988, 10933

Auto

15.1 15%

Teleop

67.3 67%

Endgame

18.4 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.75 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score462.5pts

Blue projected score94.8pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 367.6
Score range: 61–496
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 523 vs event baseline 186.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

787.8Season APEX259.7

46Auto15.1

283Teleop67.3

133.8Endgame18.4

76Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	76	14
teleop	223	71
endgame	115	24
foul	0	0
total	414	109

Result

Final score

414 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 31.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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