Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

415.21 – 133.49

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

545 – 312

Prediction correct · off by 154.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 672.5 ±10.2

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 157.11Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 213.4Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3424Corax

Season APEX 119.3Event APEX 44.7Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.6 ±12.8

3006Red Rock Robotics

Season APEX 276.8Event APEX 156.02Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

74368-Bit Miners

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX -21.9Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8885Socratic Schematics

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX -0.63Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 359, 7426, 3424

/ 100 compat

Projected

415.2 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 359, 7426, 3424

Auto

68.3 17%

Teleop

265.2 65%

Endgame

74.4 18%

Strengths

· 7426 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3006, 7436, 8885

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.5 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3006, 7436, 8885

Auto

25.1 20%

Teleop

84.9 69%

Endgame

12.5 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.66 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score415.2pts

Blue projected score133.5pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 281.7
Score range: 100–448
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 857 vs event baseline 185.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

672.5Season APEX379.6

68.3Auto25.1

265.2Teleop84.9

74.4Endgame12.5

23Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	104	84
teleop	287	142
endgame	154	76
foul	0	10
total	545	312

Result

Final score

545 – 312

Prediction correct · off by 154.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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