Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

146.14 – 257.2

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

105 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 44.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 139.1 ±18.6

4598ICARUS INNOVATED

Season APEX 49Event APEX 73.5Rank 12Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7634New Hawks

Provisional

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 36.65Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5071Charger Robotics

Season APEX 48.2Event APEX 35.99Rank 37Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 83

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 449.7 ±12.2

2594Naskcorpions

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 2.67Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3245Ravens

Season APEX 194Event APEX 147.81Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6487Clockwork Knights

Season APEX 187.2Event APEX 106.72Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4598, 7634, 5071

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.1 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 4598, 7634, 5071

Auto

23.1 16%

Teleop

81.7 57%

Endgame

38.4 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2594, 3245, 6487

/ 100 compat

Projected

257.2 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 2594, 3245, 6487

Auto

49.8 20%

Teleop

168.8 68%

Endgame

29.6 12%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.99 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score146.1pts

Blue projected score257.2pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -111.1
Score range: 113–290
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 314 vs event baseline 186.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

139.1Season APEX449.7

23.1Auto49.8

81.7Teleop168.8

38.4Endgame29.6

63Consistency120

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	57
teleop	50	143
endgame	34	9
foul	0	0
total	105	209

Result

Final score

105 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 44.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.