Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

131.89 – 76.88

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 217

Prediction missed · off by 120 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 171 ±19.2

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 54.47Rank 17Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 92

3166Rooks

Provisional

Season APEX 50.3Event APEX 46.42Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8805NKST36

Provisional

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 31Rank 40Record 1-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 384 ±12.9

1891Bullbots

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 33.87Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3243Amperes

Season APEX 219.5Event APEX 67Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5933JudgeMent Call Robotics

Season APEX 59.9Event APEX -23.99Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7755, 3166, 8805

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.9 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 7755, 3166, 8805

Auto

21.4 17%

Teleop

79.3 64%

Endgame

23.6 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1891, 3243, 5933

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.9 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1891, 3243, 5933

Auto

2.6 3%

Teleop

48.2 63%

Endgame

26.0 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score131.9pts

Blue projected score76.9pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 55
Score range: 43–166
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 249 vs event baseline 187.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

171Season APEX384

21.4Auto2.6

79.3Teleop48.2

23.6Endgame26

90Consistency150

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	27
teleop	10	117
endgame	5	68
foul	0	5
total	32	217

Result

Final score

32 – 217

Prediction missed · off by 120 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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