Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

189.76 – 166.79

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

157 – 331

Prediction missed · off by 98.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198.1 ±14.5

7895Trobots

Season APEX 39.4Event APEX 77.08Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1708AMP'D Robotics

Season APEX 76Event APEX 99.57Rank 28Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9037HHS Black Ops

Season APEX 82.7Event APEX 13.11Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 444.9 ±13

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 114.92Rank 8Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

4175Coded Summit

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 63.23Rank 22Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

10384Sparkanovas

Season APEX 76.5Event APEX -11.36Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7895, 1708, 9037

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.8 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 7895, 1708, 9037

Auto

30.9 16%

Teleop

126.3 66%

Endgame

35.0 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2122, 4175, 10384

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.8 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2122, 4175, 10384

Auto

35.1 24%

Teleop

60.9 41%

Endgame

52.1 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score189.8pts

Blue projected score166.8pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 23
Score range: 133–224
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 488 vs event baseline 189.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198.1Season APEX444.9

30.9Auto35.1

126.3Teleop60.9

35Endgame52.1

81Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	80
teleop	92	199
endgame	34	52
foul	0	0
total	157	331

Result

Final score

157 – 331

Prediction missed · off by 98.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.