Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

143.7 – 261.98

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

35 – 297

Prediction correct · off by 71.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 184.8 ±13.9

4175Coded Summit

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 74.97Rank 22Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

10933Tie Dye Samurai

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 30.57Rank 39Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1566AMMOKNIGHTS

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 38.16Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 538.7 ±13

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 192.65Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2726Red Pebble Rebels

Season APEX 158.9Event APEX 8.78Rank 9Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97

7755Phantom Circuits

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 60.55Rank 17Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4175, 10933, 1566

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.7 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4175, 10933, 1566

Auto

33.1 23%

Teleop

87.4 62%

Endgame

20.8 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7426, 2726, 7755

/ 100 compat

Projected

262 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 7426, 2726, 7755

Auto

29.8 11%

Teleop

160.6 60%

Endgame

76.4 29%

Strengths

· 7426 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score143.7pts

Blue projected score262pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -118.3
Score range: 113–293
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 175.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

184.8Season APEX538.7

33.1Auto29.8

87.4Teleop160.6

20.8Endgame76.4

126Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	45
teleop	6	186
endgame	0	56
foul	15	10
total	35	297

Result

Final score

35 – 297

Prediction correct · off by 71.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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