Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

63.76 – 175.16

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 22.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 369.2 ±15

10034GammaLand

Season APEX 251.5Event APEX 71.62Rank 30Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

10384Sparkanovas

Season APEX 76.5Event APEX 2.27Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

8885Socratic Schematics

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX -10.13Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 366.9 ±17.7

10256Team Scrap Metal

Season APEX 96.3Event APEX 44.18Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

6487Clockwork Knights

Season APEX 187.2Event APEX 115.04Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7906Underdogs

Provisional

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 15.94Rank 19Record 5-4-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10034, 10384, 8885

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.8 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10034, 10384, 8885

Auto

-4.6 0%

Teleop

31.1 54%

Endgame

31.6 54%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10256, 6487, 7906

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.2 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10256, 6487, 7906

Auto

27.8 15%

Teleop

127.2 70%

Endgame

27.2 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score63.8pts

Blue projected score175.2pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -111.4
Score range: 32–207
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 284 vs event baseline 176.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

369.2Season APEX366.9

-4.6Auto27.8

31.1Teleop127.2

31.6Endgame27.2

123Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	35
teleop	44	138
endgame	12	35
foul	0	0
total	76	208

Result

Final score

76 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 22.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.