Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

32.1 – 232.12

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

105 – 418

Prediction correct · off by 129.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 201.5 ±17

2594Naskcorpions

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 1.32Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9037HHS Black Ops

Season APEX 82.7Event APEX -23.44Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3166Rooks

Provisional

Season APEX 50.3Event APEX 54.22Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 501.3 ±14.4

3006Red Rock Robotics

Season APEX 276.8Event APEX 101.46Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4598ICARUS INNOVATED

Season APEX 49Event APEX 54.74Rank 12Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9277Sparkans

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 75.92Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2594, 9037, 3166

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.1 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2594, 9037, 3166

Auto

12.7 50%

Teleop

-7.1 0%

Endgame

19.6 78%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3006, 4598, 9277

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.1 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 3006, 4598, 9277

Auto

34.3 15%

Teleop

132.6 60%

Endgame

54.5 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score32.1pts

Blue projected score232.1pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -200
Score range: 1–263
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 523 vs event baseline 172.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

201.5Season APEX501.3

12.7Auto34.3

-7.1Teleop132.6

19.6Endgame54.5

106Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	90
teleop	56	248
endgame	29	80
foul	0	0
total	105	418

Result

Final score

105 – 418

Prediction correct · off by 129.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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