Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

256.84 – 137.17

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

264 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 14.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 469.8 ±14.9

3245Ravens

Season APEX 194Event APEX 84.8Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3424Corax

Season APEX 119.3Event APEX 49.39Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

8839Shoshone Robotics

Season APEX 156.5Event APEX 122.65Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 234.2 ±16.5

8885Socratic Schematics

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX -5.71Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

8805NKST36

Provisional

Season APEX 25.9Event APEX 87.11Rank 40Record 1-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10988Desert Storm

Season APEX 167.1Event APEX 55.77Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3245, 3424, 8839

/ 100 compat

Projected

256.8 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 3245, 3424, 8839

Auto

28.0 12%

Teleop

152.8 64%

Endgame

58.7 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8885, 8805, 10988

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.2 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 8885, 8805, 10988

Auto

28.9 24%

Teleop

73.6 61%

Endgame

18.7 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.34 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score256.8pts

Blue projected score137.2pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 119.7
Score range: 107–287
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 379 vs event baseline 166.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

469.8Season APEX234.2

28Auto28.9

152.8Teleop73.6

58.7Endgame18.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	19
teleop	202	79
endgame	16	12
foul	5	5
total	264	115

Result

Final score

264 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 14.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.