Final · Finals 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

390.42 – 429.35

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

457 – 408

Prediction missed · off by 44 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 683 ±11.2

3006Red Rock Robotics

Season APEX 276.8Event APEX 207.4Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2972Gears and Buccaneers

Season APEX 116.6Event APEX 8.91Rank 38Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2122Team Tators

Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 174.11Rank 8Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 601.4 ±11

5071Charger Robotics

Season APEX 48.2Event APEX 17.17Rank 37Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 83

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 209.2Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7426PAIR OF DICE ROBOTICS

Season APEX 285Event APEX 202.98Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3006, 2972, 2122

/ 100 compat

Projected

390.4 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 3006, 2972, 2122

Auto

99.2 26%

Teleop

203.8 54%

Endgame

77.3 20%

Strengths

· 3006 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5071, 359, 7426

/ 100 compat

Projected

429.4 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 5071, 359, 7426

Auto

97.1 21%

Teleop

261.4 57%

Endgame

98.9 22%

Strengths

· 359 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score390.4pts

Blue projected score429.4pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample172alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -38.9
Score range: 353–466
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 865 vs event baseline 207.8.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

683Season APEX601.4

99.2Auto97.1

203.8Teleop261.4

77.3Endgame98.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	135	69
teleop	202	243
endgame	115	81
foul	5	15
total	457	408

Result

Final score

457 – 408

Prediction missed · off by 44 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.