Final · Finals 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
386.33 – 421.01
39%61%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
421 – 499
Prediction correct · off by 56.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 683 ±11.2
Season APEX 276.8Event APEX 206.14Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 116.6Event APEX 7.58Rank 38Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 289.6Event APEX 172.61Rank 8Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 601.4 ±11
Season APEX 48.2Event APEX 14.38Rank 37Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 83
Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 206.56Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 285Event APEX 200.07Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3006, 2972, 2122
83
/ 100 compatProjected
386.3 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 3006, 2972, 2122
Auto
94.0 25%
Teleop
202.0 54%
Endgame
80.2 21%
Strengths
- · 3006 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5071, 359, 7426
81
/ 100 compatProjected
421 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 5071, 359, 7426
Auto
93.4 21%
Teleop
265.7 59%
Endgame
93.2 21%
Strengths
- · 359 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.82
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score386.3pts
Blue projected score421pts
Red win probability39%
Event bonus sample172alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 9%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -34.7
- Score range
- 349–458
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
683Season APEX601.4
94Auto93.4
202Teleop265.7
80.2Endgame93.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 138 | 128 |
| teleop | 218 | 225 |
| endgame | 55 | 146 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 421 | 499 |
Result
Final score
421 – 499
Prediction correct · off by 56.3 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.