Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
104.35 – 176.63
29%71%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
42 – 228
Prediction correct · off by 56.9 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 132.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 38.73Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 4.33Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 61.29Rank 25Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 455.3 ±10.8
Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 98.44Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 57.4Event APEX 35.19Rank 24Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 43Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8370, 8528, 9121
64
/ 100 compatProjected
104.4 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 8370, 8528, 9121
Auto
27.2 28%
Teleop
49.5 51%
Endgame
19.7 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6369, 3282, 3679
89
/ 100 compatProjected
176.6 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6369, 3282, 3679
Auto
44.5 26%
Teleop
82.4 47%
Endgame
46.9 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.94 · Blue 1.89
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score104.4pts
Blue projected score176.6pts
Red win probability29%
Event bonus sample130alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -72.3
- Score range
- 82–199
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
132.6Season APEX455.3
27.2Auto44.5
49.5Teleop82.4
19.7Endgame46.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 63 |
| teleop | 12 | 91 |
| endgame | 11 | 74 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 42 | 228 |
Result
Final score
42 – 228
Prediction correct · off by 56.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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