Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

281.1 – 95.2

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

277 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 576.1 ±9.5

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 173.49Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 7.21Rank 25Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 100.4Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 233.1 ±11.7

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 27.62Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7506WILDCARDS

Season APEX 151.2Event APEX 58.68Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5866Fe [Iron] Tigers

Season APEX 34.8Event APEX 8.9Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6369, 9121, 2881

/ 100 compat

Projected

281.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6369, 9121, 2881

Auto

58.8 21%

Teleop

154.7 55%

Endgame

65.6 24%

Strengths

· 6369 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8370, 7506, 5866

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8370, 7506, 5866

Auto

23.0 25%

Teleop

47.0 52%

Endgame

20.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score281.1pts

Blue projected score95.2pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 185.9
Score range: 70–306
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 386 vs event baseline 139.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

576.1Season APEX233.1

58.8Auto23

154.7Teleop47

65.6Endgame20.8

25Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	23
teleop	133	44
endgame	78	22
foul	0	20
total	277	109

Result

Final score

277 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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