Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

74.86 – 110.91

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

116 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 322.4 ±11.2

3282Dallas Robo Tigers

Season APEX 57.4Event APEX -4.45Rank 24Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10994SSES Phenoms

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 13.35Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 65.96Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 315.8 ±11.1

5613ThunderDogs

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 12.19Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10014REBELLION

Season APEX 225.6Event APEX 74.92Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5788Eagle Spec Ops

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 23.8Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3282, 10994, 1477

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3282, 10994, 1477

Auto

16.4 23%

Teleop

30.3 43%

Endgame

24.0 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5613, 10014, 5788

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5613, 10014, 5788

Auto

32.8 29%

Teleop

49.9 45%

Endgame

29.2 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.17 · Blue 1.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score74.9pts

Blue projected score110.9pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -36
Score range: 50–136
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 240 vs event baseline 139.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

322.4Season APEX315.8

16.4Auto32.8

30.3Teleop49.9

24Endgame29.2

42Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	31
teleop	54	69
endgame	36	24
foul	5	0
total	116	124

Result

Final score

116 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 27.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.