Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

74.25 – 202.76

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

104 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 50 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.5 ±10.5

5788Eagle Spec Ops

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 25.62Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11200Panther Prime

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX -17.07Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 65.7Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 374.7 ±10.5

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 4.19Rank 25Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2848Rangers

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 118.84Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 79.73Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5788, 11200, 1477

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5788, 11200, 1477

Auto

23.1 32%

Teleop

36.5 50%

Endgame

13.6 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9121, 2848, 7492

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9121, 2848, 7492

Auto

30.2 15%

Teleop

113.0 56%

Endgame

58.3 29%

Strengths

· 2848 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score74.3pts

Blue projected score202.8pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -128.5
Score range: 51–226
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 377 vs event baseline 129.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

307.5Season APEX374.7

23.1Auto30.2

36.5Teleop113

13.6Endgame58.3

31Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	15
teleop	52	159
endgame	17	99
foul	5	0
total	104	273

Result

Final score

104 – 273

Prediction correct · off by 50 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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