Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

106.56 – 84.31

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

108 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 16.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 334.3 ±9.8

11200Panther Prime

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX -13.23Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 91.59Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 28.2Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 139.6 ±12.7

8528AstroChimps

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 24.03Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11469Ignis Mechanica

Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 23.35Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5788Eagle Spec Ops

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 36.93Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11200, 2881, 8370

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11200, 2881, 8370

Auto

28.0 27%

Teleop

50.0 49%

Endgame

24.5 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8528, 11469, 5788

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8528, 11469, 5788

Auto

23.5 29%

Teleop

42.5 52%

Endgame

16.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.57 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score106.6pts

Blue projected score84.3pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 22.3
Score range: 61–130
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 160 vs event baseline 127.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

334.3Season APEX139.6

28Auto23.5

50Teleop42.5

24.5Endgame16

36Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	19
teleop	60	16
endgame	15	12
foul	0	5
total	108	52

Result

Final score

108 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 16.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.