Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

163.96 – 79.51

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

118 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 42.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 377.9 ±11.2

8528AstroChimps

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 27.19Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 96.69Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3679rattlers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 40.08Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 139.3 ±11

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 31.22Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5788Eagle Spec Ops

Season APEX 41.4Event APEX 39.36Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10994SSES Phenoms

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 8.93Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8528, 2881, 3679

/ 100 compat

Projected

164 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8528, 2881, 3679

Auto

38.8 24%

Teleop

83.4 51%

Endgame

39.8 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8370, 5788, 10994

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8370, 5788, 10994

Auto

13.6 17%

Teleop

44.2 55%

Endgame

23.1 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score164pts

Blue projected score79.5pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 84.5
Score range: 56–188
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 158 vs event baseline 130.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

377.9Season APEX139.3

38.8Auto13.6

83.4Teleop44.2

39.8Endgame23.1

0Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	16
teleop	49	7
endgame	23	12
foul	0	5
total	118	40

Result

Final score

118 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 42.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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