Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.04 – 193.08

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

113 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 18 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.4 ±11

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 79.24Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5682Equus Engineering

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 32.72Rank 13Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11200Panther Prime

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX -17.92Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 482.6 ±10.7

5866Fe [Iron] Tigers

Season APEX 34.8Event APEX 5.14Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2848Rangers

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 114.78Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10014REBELLION

Season APEX 225.6Event APEX 73.16Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7492, 5682, 11200

/ 100 compat

Projected

94 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7492, 5682, 11200

Auto

11.2 13%

Teleop

54.1 61%

Endgame

23.8 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5866, 2848, 10014

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5866, 2848, 10014

Auto

42.8 23%

Teleop

94.0 50%

Endgame

52.1 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score94pts

Blue projected score193.1pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -99
Score range: 71–216
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 289 vs event baseline 129.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229.4Season APEX482.6

11.2Auto42.8

54.1Teleop94

23.8Endgame52.1

63Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	37
teleop	64	93
endgame	30	46
foul	0	0
total	113	176

Result

Final score

113 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 18 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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