Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

170.26 – 172.8

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

168 – 237

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 380.2 ±10.5

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 87.15Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 81.49Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2950Devastators

Season APEX 41.1Event APEX 1.62Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 467 ±9.8

4295Hudson Stingers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 32.86Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 88.77Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7506WILDCARDS

Season APEX 151.2Event APEX 51.17Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1477, 7492, 2950

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1477, 7492, 2950

Auto

40.1 24%

Teleop

85.6 50%

Endgame

43.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4295, 2881, 7506

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4295, 2881, 7506

Auto

33.0 19%

Teleop

99.6 58%

Endgame

39.4 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score170.3pts

Blue projected score172.8pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -2.5
Score range: 147–196
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 405 vs event baseline 125.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

380.2Season APEX467

40.1Auto33

85.6Teleop99.6

43.9Endgame39.4

66Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	59
teleop	79	110
endgame	53	63
foul	15	5
total	168	237

Result

Final score

168 – 237

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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