Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

35.52 – 65.13

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 11.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 176.1 ±11.7

3282Dallas Robo Tigers

Season APEX 57.4Event APEX -10.61Rank 24Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2969Aftermath

Season APEX 38.4Event APEX 8.92Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5417Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 37.21Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 261 ±11.7

8528AstroChimps

Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 23Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7506WILDCARDS

Season APEX 151.2Event APEX 55.33Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11200Panther Prime

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX -13.2Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3282, 2969, 5417

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3282, 2969, 5417

Auto

9.8 30%

Teleop

8.1 25%

Endgame

14.8 45%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8528, 7506, 11200

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8528, 7506, 11200

Auto

10.4 18%

Teleop

29.4 51%

Endgame

17.4 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.18 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score35.5pts

Blue projected score65.1pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29.6
Score range: 14–87
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 107 vs event baseline 123.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

176.1Season APEX261

9.8Auto10.4

8.1Teleop29.4

14.8Endgame17.4

39Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	15
teleop	21	39
endgame	16	3
foul	0	0
total	50	57

Result

Final score

50 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 11.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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