Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.59 – 176.05

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

102 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 32.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 251.2 ±11

9418Pastabots

Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 47.5Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8769G.O.R.T.s

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 35.31Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2950Devastators

Season APEX 41.1Event APEX -12.22Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 515.2 ±9.4

10994SSES Phenoms

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 19.45Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 104.58Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7506WILDCARDS

Season APEX 151.2Event APEX 52.02Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9418, 8769, 2950

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9418, 8769, 2950

Auto

17.8 27%

Teleop

36.8 55%

Endgame

12.2 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10994, 6369, 7506

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10994, 6369, 7506

Auto

32.3 19%

Teleop

75.5 45%

Endgame

61.6 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score70.6pts

Blue projected score176.1pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -105.5
Score range: 49–198
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 311 vs event baseline 121.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

251.2Season APEX515.2

17.8Auto32.3

36.8Teleop75.5

12.2Endgame61.6

129Consistency161

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	42
teleop	31	121
endgame	29	46
foul	15	0
total	102	209

Result

Final score

102 – 209

Prediction correct · off by 32.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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