Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

83.68 – 111.27

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

80 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 8.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 164.9 ±11.6

3679rattlers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 61.38Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9121Mavericks

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 21.66Rank 25Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5682Equus Engineering

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 0.64Rank 13Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 252.3 ±10.4

5417Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 80.3Event APEX 24.09Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 16.67Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 70.51Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3679, 9121, 5682

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3679, 9121, 5682

Auto

33.8 37%

Teleop

43.0 48%

Endgame

13.4 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5417, 8370, 7492

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5417, 8370, 7492

Auto

27.1 27%

Teleop

53.7 54%

Endgame

18.9 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score83.7pts

Blue projected score111.3pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -27.6
Score range: 62–133
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 205 vs event baseline 123.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

164.9Season APEX252.3

33.8Auto27.1

43Teleop53.7

13.4Endgame18.9

0Consistency117

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	21
teleop	32	78
endgame	29	26
foul	0	0
total	80	125

Result

Final score

80 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 8.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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