Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

87.01 – 41.78

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

60 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 18.4 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 188.1 ±11

11469Ignis Mechanica

Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 50.07Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11200Panther Prime

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 3.14Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8769G.O.R.T.s

Season APEX 95.9Event APEX 33.8Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 156.4 ±12.2

4295Hudson Stingers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 23.05Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5866Fe [Iron] Tigers

Season APEX 34.8Event APEX 24.41Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2950Devastators

Season APEX 41.1Event APEX -5.68Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11469, 11200, 8769

/ 100 compat

Projected

87 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11469, 11200, 8769

Auto

17.5 19%

Teleop

47.8 52%

Endgame

27.1 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4295, 5866, 2950

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4295, 5866, 2950

Auto

11.3 33%

Teleop

17.9 52%

Endgame

5.3 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87pts

Blue projected score41.8pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 45.2
Score range: 19–110
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 92 vs event baseline 125.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

188.1Season APEX156.4

17.5Auto11.3

47.8Teleop17.9

27.1Endgame5.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	15
teleop	25	9
endgame	14	8
foul	0	0
total	60	32

Result

Final score

60 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 18.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.