Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

284.36 – 195.88

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

372 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 52.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 587.3 ±8.8

2848Rangers

Season APEX 222.2Event APEX 127.91Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11200Panther Prime

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX -11.17Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 167.62Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 511.7 ±9.3

10994SSES Phenoms

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 15.02Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 102.99Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10014REBELLION

Season APEX 225.6Event APEX 77.87Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2848, 11200, 6369

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2848, 11200, 6369

Auto

46.6 16%

Teleop

165.3 58%

Endgame

73.6 26%

Strengths

· 6369 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10994, 2881, 10014

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10994, 2881, 10014

Auto

43.3 23%

Teleop

101.2 54%

Endgame

44.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score284.4pts

Blue projected score195.9pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 88.5
Score range: 172–308
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 585 vs event baseline 135.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

587.3Season APEX511.7

46.6Auto43.3

165.3Teleop101.2

73.6Endgame44.6

42Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	34
teleop	224	109
endgame	91	55
foul	0	15
total	372	213

Result

Final score

372 – 213

Prediction correct · off by 52.4 pts

Match videos

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