Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

93.87 – 84.49

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

111 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 10.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 191 ±11

3561RoboRaiders

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 42.5Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3679rattlers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 43.38Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5726RHUMBOTZ

Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 7.99Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 238.4 ±11

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 26.59Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4219RED!

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 26.34Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4734The Iron Plainsmen

Season APEX 90Event APEX 31.56Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3561, 3679, 5726

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3561, 3679, 5726

Auto

22.5 26%

Teleop

36.4 42%

Endgame

28.6 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6357, 4219, 4734

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6357, 4219, 4734

Auto

20.6 25%

Teleop

36.5 44%

Endgame

26.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score93.9pts

Blue projected score84.5pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 9.4
Score range: 68–110
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 191 vs event baseline 91.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

191Season APEX238.4

22.5Auto20.6

36.4Teleop36.5

28.6Endgame26.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	23
teleop	27	46
endgame	27	11
foul	35	0
total	111	80

Result

Final score

111 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 10.8 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.