Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
321.09 – 100.03
94%6%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
383 – 77
Prediction correct · off by 42.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 583.5 ±8.8
Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 197.37Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 11.98Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 211Event APEX 111.74Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 191 ±11
Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 44.38Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 45.24Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 10.41Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6369, 11169, 2582
80
/ 100 compatProjected
321.1 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 6369, 11169, 2582
Auto
48.9 16%
Teleop
190.6 61%
Endgame
74.7 24%
Strengths
- · 6369 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3561, 3679, 5726
65
/ 100 compatProjected
100 pts
~0.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3561, 3679, 5726
Auto
22.8 25%
Teleop
37.2 41%
Endgame
31.8 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.38
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score321.1pts
Blue projected score100pts
Red win probability94%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 22%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 221.1
- Score range
- 84–337
- Upset likelihood
- 6%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
583.5Season APEX191
48.9Auto22.8
190.6Teleop37.2
74.7Endgame31.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 79 | 23 |
| teleop | 200 | 35 |
| endgame | 104 | 19 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 383 | 77 |
Result
Final score
383 – 77
Prediction correct · off by 42.5 pts
Match videos
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