Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

83.47 – 53.59

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

90 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 10.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 238.4 ±11

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 25.82Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4219RED!

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 26.13Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4734The Iron Plainsmen

Season APEX 90Event APEX 31.52Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 209.3 ±11

10312ByteForce

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 18.75Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8114Rocketeers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 15.9Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8088Bionic Panthers

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 18.94Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6357, 4219, 4734

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6357, 4219, 4734

Auto

19.4 23%

Teleop

35.8 43%

Endgame

27.6 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10312, 8114, 8088

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10312, 8114, 8088

Auto

17.5 34%

Teleop

23.7 46%

Endgame

10.3 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score83.5pts

Blue projected score53.6pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29.9
Score range: 38–99
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 158 vs event baseline 88.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

238.4Season APEX209.3

19.4Auto17.5

35.8Teleop23.7

27.6Endgame10.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	22
teleop	40	24
endgame	23	17
foul	0	5
total	90	68

Result

Final score

90 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 10.5 pts

Match videos

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