Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

45.72 – 134.91

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

78 – 38

Prediction missed · off by 64.6 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 376.2 ±10.5

3035Droid Rage

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 30.57Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4734The Iron Plainsmen

Season APEX 90Event APEX 6.29Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6974Zia Robotics

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 8.86Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 310 ±12.4

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 94.16Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4717Westerner Robotics

Season APEX 53.3Event APEX 30.57Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3240Team Orion

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 10.18Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3035, 4734, 6974

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3035, 4734, 6974

Auto

22.3 49%

Teleop

19.7 43%

Endgame

3.7 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5572, 4717, 3240

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5572, 4717, 3240

Auto

28.8 22%

Teleop

76.6 58%

Endgame

26.3 20%

Strengths

· 5572 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.83 · Blue 1.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score45.7pts

Blue projected score134.9pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -89.2
Score range: 35–146
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 116 vs event baseline 60.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

376.2Season APEX310

22.3Auto28.8

19.7Teleop76.6

3.7Endgame26.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	15
teleop	25	13
endgame	12	0
foul	0	10
total	78	38

Result

Final score

78 – 38

Prediction missed · off by 64.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.