Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

173.32 – 32.02

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

168 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 11.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 354 ±11.2

3735VorTX

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 54.46Rank 4Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3240Team Orion

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 10.95Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 107.91Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 139.2 ±13.9

9419VULCAN

Season APEX 15.9Event APEX -1.31Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

2969Aftermath

Season APEX 38.4Event APEX 14.78Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8088Bionic Panthers

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 18.55Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3735, 3240, 2582

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3735, 3240, 2582

Auto

29.8 18%

Teleop

99.9 60%

Endgame

36.8 22%

Strengths

· 2582 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9419, 2969, 8088

/ 100 compat

Projected

32 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9419, 2969, 8088

Auto

8.1 23%

Teleop

13.5 39%

Endgame

12.9 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score173.3pts

Blue projected score32pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 141.3
Score range: 17–188
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 218 vs event baseline 83.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

354Season APEX139.2

29.8Auto8.1

99.9Teleop13.5

36.8Endgame12.9

0Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	17
teleop	116	21
endgame	29	12
foul	0	0
total	168	50

Result

Final score

168 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 11.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree