Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

80.58 – 59.27

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

111 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 32.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 361.7 ±11.2

9658Camber

Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 4.41Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 59.92Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8114Rocketeers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 16.25Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.7 ±11.2

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 39.33Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4717Westerner Robotics

Season APEX 53.3Event APEX 6.41Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10518D.A.D.S

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 13.53Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9658, 5572, 8114

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9658, 5572, 8114

Auto

17.3 22%

Teleop

40.7 51%

Endgame

22.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9140, 4717, 10518

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9140, 4717, 10518

Auto

14.8 27%

Teleop

25.2 47%

Endgame

13.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score80.6pts

Blue projected score59.3pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 21.3
Score range: 44–96
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 135 vs event baseline 84.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

361.7Season APEX346.7

17.3Auto14.8

40.7Teleop25.2

22.4Endgame13.9

8Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	18
teleop	67	1
endgame	7	5
foul	15	0
total	111	24

Result

Final score

111 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 32.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree