Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

36.1 – 74.25

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

52 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 141.6 ±11.7

3240Team Orion

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 10.38Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2969Aftermath

Season APEX 38.4Event APEX 14.7Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8507Jagwire Robotics

Season APEX 77.6Event APEX 11.02Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244.7 ±11

457⚙️ The Grease Monkeys ⚙️

Season APEX 135.1Event APEX 45.75Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5726RHUMBOTZ

Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 8.55Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 19.95Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3240, 2969, 8507

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3240, 2969, 8507

Auto

8.1 23%

Teleop

22.5 64%

Endgame

4.5 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 457, 5726, 6357

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 457, 5726, 6357

Auto

13.4 19%

Teleop

36.6 52%

Endgame

20.9 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score36.1pts

Blue projected score74.3pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -38.1
Score range: 21–89
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 169 vs event baseline 84.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

141.6Season APEX244.7

8.1Auto13.4

22.5Teleop36.6

4.5Endgame20.9

20Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	13
teleop	32	59
endgame	3	45
foul	0	0
total	52	117

Result

Final score

52 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree