Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

61.14 – 22.52

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

46 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 14.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 174.1 ±11

8088Bionic Panthers

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 21.61Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9444Perseverance

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 29.13Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4610BearTecs

Season APEX 22.7Event APEX 10.4Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 144.9 ±12.8

9136Rampage

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 1.97Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9311Warhorse Robotics

Season APEX 50.6Event APEX 1.4Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3545Bots in Blue

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX 19.15Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8088, 9444, 4610

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8088, 9444, 4610

Auto

11.2 20%

Teleop

22.1 39%

Endgame

23.2 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9136, 9311, 3545

/ 100 compat

Projected

22.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9136, 9311, 3545

Auto

13.8 64%

Teleop

9.0 42%

Endgame

-1.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score61.1pts

Blue projected score22.5pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 38.6
Score range: 8–76
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 83 vs event baseline 85.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

174.1Season APEX144.9

11.2Auto13.8

22.1Teleop9

23.2Endgame-1.3

28Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	16
teleop	23	19
endgame	11	2
foul	0	0
total	46	37

Result

Final score

46 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 14.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree