Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

118.68 – 36.87

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

157 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 404.8 ±9.8

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 57.42Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10518D.A.D.S

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 10.12Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3735VorTX

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 51.14Rank 4Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 324.7 ±10.5

11309Gear Owls

Season APEX 28.3Event APEX -0.53Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 37.55Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11169ERA Delta

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX -0.15Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5572, 10518, 3735

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5572, 10518, 3735

Auto

27.3 25%

Teleop

58.1 52%

Endgame

25.3 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11309, 9140, 11169

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11309, 9140, 11169

Auto

9.4 27%

Teleop

13.9 40%

Endgame

11.6 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score118.7pts

Blue projected score36.9pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 81.8
Score range: 22–134
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 223 vs event baseline 84.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

404.8Season APEX324.7

27.3Auto9.4

58.1Teleop13.9

25.3Endgame11.6

27Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	23
teleop	114	40
endgame	17	3
foul	0	0
total	157	66

Result

Final score

157 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree