Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

33.77 – 45.45

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 29.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 165.8 ±14.4

9419VULCAN

Season APEX 15.9Event APEX 0.32Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6974Zia Robotics

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 14.49Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3481Bronc Botz

Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 18.96Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 234.6 ±12.2

9034The Space Dolphins

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 6.96Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1745The P-51 Mustangs

Season APEX 104Event APEX 12.36Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4734The Iron Plainsmen

Season APEX 90Event APEX 26.13Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9419, 6974, 3481

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9419, 6974, 3481

Auto

15.9 43%

Teleop

9.1 25%

Endgame

11.6 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9034, 1745, 4734

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9034, 1745, 4734

Auto

20.8 51%

Teleop

6.4 16%

Endgame

13.5 33%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score33.8pts

Blue projected score45.5pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -11.7
Score range: 19–60
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 138 vs event baseline 84.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

165.8Season APEX234.6

15.9Auto20.8

9.1Teleop6.4

11.6Endgame13.5

48Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	18
teleop	17	41
endgame	10	32
foul	0	0
total	47	91

Result

Final score

47 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 29.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree