Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

52.75 – 97.78

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 100.6 ±12.2

3545Bots in Blue

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX 22.29Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4610BearTecs

Season APEX 22.7Event APEX 13.3Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2969Aftermath

Season APEX 38.4Event APEX 17.16Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 485.1 ±13.1

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 52.43Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 33.08Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6155ElektraBots

Season APEX 16.9Event APEX 12.27Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3545, 4610, 2969

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3545, 4610, 2969

Auto

4.6 9%

Teleop

28.4 57%

Endgame

16.9 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5572, 9140, 6155

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5572, 9140, 6155

Auto

20.6 22%

Teleop

47.1 49%

Endgame

28.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score52.8pts

Blue projected score97.8pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -45
Score range: 38–113
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 206 vs event baseline 82.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

100.6Season APEX485.1

4.6Auto20.6

28.4Teleop47.1

16.9Endgame28

22Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	29
teleop	24	91
endgame	4	38
foul	5	0
total	48	158

Result

Final score

48 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree