Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.66 – 84.45

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.2 ±12.2

6974Zia Robotics

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 12.11Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9034The Space Dolphins

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 5.7Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8088Bionic Panthers

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 20.85Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.9 ±14.4

4219RED!

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 27.56Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3735VorTX

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 53.87Rank 4Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9419VULCAN

Season APEX 15.9Event APEX 3.02Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6974, 9034, 8088

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6974, 9034, 8088

Auto

20.6 47%

Teleop

12.3 28%

Endgame

11.3 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4219, 3735, 9419

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4219, 3735, 9419

Auto

20.5 25%

Teleop

42.0 52%

Endgame

18.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score38.7pts

Blue projected score84.4pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -45.8
Score range: 24–99
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 140 vs event baseline 82.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

162.2Season APEX196.9

20.6Auto20.5

12.3Teleop42

11.3Endgame18.7

15Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	20
teleop	25	22
endgame	22	15
foul	5	15
total	68	72

Result

Final score

68 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree