Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

90.37 – 51.17

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

74 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 8.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 263.9 ±11

10312ByteForce

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 18.25Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8088Bionic Panthers

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 19.92Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

457⚙️ The Grease Monkeys ⚙️

Season APEX 135.1Event APEX 52.2Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 313.4 ±12.4

2657Team Thundercats

Season APEX 35.7Event APEX 6.81Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 36.92Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9034The Space Dolphins

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 7.44Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10312, 8088, 457

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10312, 8088, 457

Auto

17.1 19%

Teleop

49.8 56%

Endgame

21.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2657, 9140, 9034

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2657, 9140, 9034

Auto

16.0 33%

Teleop

17.2 36%

Endgame

15.2 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.46 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.4pts

Blue projected score51.2pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 39.2
Score range: 33–108
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 124 vs event baseline 99.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

263.9Season APEX313.4

17.1Auto16

49.8Teleop17.2

21.6Endgame15.2

11Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	13
teleop	41	11
endgame	15	26
foul	0	0
total	74	50

Result

Final score

74 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 8.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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