Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

11.76 – 139.81

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

31 – 195

Prediction correct · off by 37.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 103.2 ±12.7

5726RHUMBOTZ

Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 10.59Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9658Camber

Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 1.77Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11309Gear Owls

Season APEX 28.3Event APEX -0.6Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.4 ±10.5

10312ByteForce

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 9.82Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 104.2Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9444Perseverance

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 25.79Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5726, 9658, 11309

/ 100 compat

Projected

11.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5726, 9658, 11309

Auto

2.0 20%

Teleop

2.0 20%

Endgame

6.0 60%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10312, 2582, 9444

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10312, 2582, 9444

Auto

22.3 16%

Teleop

84.1 61%

Endgame

30.5 22%

Strengths

· 2582 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.54 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score11.8pts

Blue projected score139.8pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -128
Score range: -3–155
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 226 vs event baseline 81.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

103.2Season APEX321.4

2Auto22.3

2Teleop84.1

6Endgame30.5

28Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	35
teleop	9	118
endgame	5	42
foul	5	0
total	31	195

Result

Final score

31 – 195

Prediction correct · off by 37.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree