Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

57.13 – 55.08

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

80 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 14 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 195.8 ±10.4

10518D.A.D.S

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 8.07Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3679rattlers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 48.12Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9136Rampage

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 0.94Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.1 ±11.7

3240Team Orion

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 14.03Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8114Rocketeers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 11.65Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4734The Iron Plainsmen

Season APEX 90Event APEX 29.4Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10518, 3679, 9136

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10518, 3679, 9136

Auto

18.5 34%

Teleop

25.5 46%

Endgame

11.2 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3240, 8114, 4734

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3240, 8114, 4734

Auto

16.5 35%

Teleop

16.9 36%

Endgame

13.9 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57.1pts

Blue projected score55.1pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 2.1
Score range: 40–72
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 130 vs event baseline 81.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

195.8Season APEX196.1

18.5Auto16.5

25.5Teleop16.9

11.2Endgame13.9

54Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	20
teleop	29	14
endgame	33	16
foul	0	0
total	80	50

Result

Final score

80 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 14 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree