Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

94.91 – 47.58

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

183 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 56.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 347.9 ±13.5

3561RoboRaiders

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 23.45Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6155ElektraBots

Season APEX 16.9Event APEX 4.87Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 76

3035Droid Rage

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 66.59Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.5 ±11.6

8088Bionic Panthers

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 19.73Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8732Trinity Force

Season APEX 30.6Event APEX 14.85Rank 15Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1745The P-51 Mustangs

Season APEX 104Event APEX 13Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3561, 6155, 3035

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3561, 6155, 3035

Auto

21.0 23%

Teleop

53.1 58%

Endgame

18.0 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8088, 8732, 1745

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8088, 8732, 1745

Auto

15.8 39%

Teleop

7.8 19%

Endgame

16.8 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.58 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score94.9pts

Blue projected score47.6pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 47.3
Score range: 33–110
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 255 vs event baseline 81.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

347.9Season APEX219.5

21Auto15.8

53.1Teleop7.8

18Endgame16.8

72Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	28
teleop	92	31
endgame	39	13
foul	0	0
total	183	72

Result

Final score

183 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 56.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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