Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

61.44 – 144.32

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 191.9 ±11.7

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 21.29Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9034The Space Dolphins

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 10.83Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9444Perseverance

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 29.32Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 472.9 ±9.9

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 102.82Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 32.56Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5726RHUMBOTZ

Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 8.94Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6357, 9034, 9444

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6357, 9034, 9444

Auto

15.2 23%

Teleop

32.4 49%

Endgame

18.0 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2582, 9140, 5726

/ 100 compat

Projected

144.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2582, 9140, 5726

Auto

24.8 18%

Teleop

72.9 53%

Endgame

39.8 29%

Strengths

· 2582 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 1.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score61.4pts

Blue projected score144.3pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -82.9
Score range: 46–159
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 199 vs event baseline 80.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

191.9Season APEX472.9

15.2Auto24.8

32.4Teleop72.9

18Endgame39.8

13Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	17
teleop	6	105
endgame	9	45
foul	0	0
total	32	167

Result

Final score

32 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree