Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

32.56 – 47.59

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

29 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 33.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 112.4 ±13.3

3240Team Orion

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 14.54Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6974Zia Robotics

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 13.84Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9658Camber

Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 4.18Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 216.1 ±11

3735VorTX

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 48.93Rank 4Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9136Rampage

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX -5.51Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10312ByteForce

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 4.17Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3240, 6974, 9658

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3240, 6974, 9658

Auto

12.7 37%

Teleop

17.9 52%

Endgame

4.0 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3735, 9136, 10312

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3735, 9136, 10312

Auto

23.1 60%

Teleop

19.8 51%

Endgame

-4.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score32.6pts

Blue projected score47.6pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -15
Score range: 18–63
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 140 vs event baseline 80.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

112.4Season APEX216.1

12.7Auto23.1

17.9Teleop19.8

4Endgame-4.3

24Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	22
teleop	10	63
endgame	8	26
foul	5	0
total	29	111

Result

Final score

29 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 33.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree