Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

234.49 – 83.83

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

245 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 8.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 580.9 ±9.5

6369Mercenary Robotics

A+

Season APEX 313.2Event APEX 187Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8732Trinity Force

Season APEX 30.6Event APEX 14.5Rank 15Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 32.99Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.5 ±11.7

3240Team Orion

Season APEX 25.6Event APEX 14.93Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3481Bronc Botz

Season APEX 113.2Event APEX 22.59Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3679rattlers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 46.31Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6369, 8732, 9140

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6369, 8732, 9140

Auto

35.6 16%

Teleop

131.5 58%

Endgame

60.5 27%

Strengths

· 6369 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3240, 3481, 3679

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.8 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3240, 3481, 3679

Auto

19.6 26%

Teleop

36.7 48%

Endgame

19.5 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 0.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score234.5pts

Blue projected score83.8pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 150.7
Score range: 70–248
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 336 vs event baseline 80.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

580.9Season APEX223.5

35.6Auto19.6

131.5Teleop36.7

60.5Endgame19.5

37Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	23
teleop	120	40
endgame	58	28
foul	30	0
total	245	91

Result

Final score

245 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 8.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree