Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

31.08 – 145.46

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

19 – 275

Prediction correct · off by 70.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 175.9 ±11.7

9034The Space Dolphins

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 19.18Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8114Rocketeers

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 17.2Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9136Rampage

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX -5.3Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 500 ±10.7

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 86.38Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3545Bots in Blue

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX 4.73Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3035Droid Rage

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 54.35Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9034, 8114, 9136

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9034, 8114, 9136

Auto

14.0 45%

Teleop

11.1 35%

Endgame

6.3 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2582, 3545, 3035

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2582, 3545, 3035

Auto

36.4 25%

Teleop

88.0 60%

Endgame

21.3 15%

Strengths

· 2582 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.57 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score31.1pts

Blue projected score145.5pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -114.4
Score range: 17–159
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 294 vs event baseline 79.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

175.9Season APEX500

14Auto36.4

11.1Teleop88

6.3Endgame21.3

83Consistency87

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	33
teleop	1	177
endgame	0	65
foul	0	0
total	19	275

Result

Final score

19 – 275

Prediction correct · off by 70.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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