Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

87.02 – 5.67

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

82 – 25

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 267.2 ±11.7

9311Warhorse Robotics

Season APEX 50.6Event APEX 8.28Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3561RoboRaiders

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 27.65Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

457⚙️ The Grease Monkeys ⚙️

Season APEX 135.1Event APEX 51.09Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 135.9 ±12.2

10518D.A.D.S

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 8.03Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10312ByteForce

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 2.15Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2657Team Thundercats

Season APEX 35.7Event APEX -4.51Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9311, 3561, 457

/ 100 compat

Projected

87 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9311, 3561, 457

Auto

12.2 15%

Teleop

45.4 56%

Endgame

24.1 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10518, 10312, 2657

/ 100 compat

Projected

5.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10518, 10312, 2657

Auto

15.3 0%

Teleop

-8.4 100%

Endgame

-14.9 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.71 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87pts

Blue projected score5.7pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 81.4
Score range: -8–101
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 107 vs event baseline 79.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

267.2Season APEX135.9

12.2Auto15.3

45.4Teleop-8.4

24.1Endgame-14.9

0Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	10
teleop	33	12
endgame	22	3
foul	5	0
total	82	25

Result

Final score

82 – 25

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree