Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

94.24 – 47.88

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

148 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 30.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 346.4 ±10.5

3679rattlers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 38.49Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 47.53Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8732Trinity Force

Season APEX 30.6Event APEX 8.22Rank 15Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 173.3 ±11.6

5726RHUMBOTZ

Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 8.27Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8088Bionic Panthers

Season APEX 84.9Event APEX 23.14Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4219RED!

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 16.47Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3679, 5572, 8732

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3679, 5572, 8732

Auto

18.3 21%

Teleop

45.1 52%

Endgame

22.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5726, 8088, 4219

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5726, 8088, 4219

Auto

11.3 26%

Teleop

24.7 56%

Endgame

8.1 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score94.2pts

Blue projected score47.9pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 46.4
Score range: 34–108
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 204 vs event baseline 79.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

346.4Season APEX173.3

18.3Auto11.3

45.1Teleop24.7

22.6Endgame8.1

21Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	20
teleop	75	15
endgame	36	21
foul	0	0
total	148	56

Result

Final score

148 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 30.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree