Qualification · Qualification 43
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
70.15 – 86.08
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
61 – 177
Prediction correct · off by 50 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 358.1 ±11.2
Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 31.43Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39.5Event APEX 4.2Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 34.52Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 298.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 13.75Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 211Event APEX 74.41Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.6Event APEX -2.08Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3561, 3545, 9140
55
/ 100 compatProjected
70.2 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3561, 3545, 9140
Auto
14.2 22%
Teleop
27.2 42%
Endgame
23.8 37%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 19%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6974, 2582, 9311
63
/ 100 compatProjected
86.1 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 6974, 2582, 9311
Auto
32.7 38%
Teleop
36.9 43%
Endgame
17.2 20%
Strengths
- · 2582 anchors offense
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 19%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score70.2pts
Blue projected score86.1pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 19%, blue 25%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -15.9
- Score range
- 56–100
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
358.1Season APEX298.3
14.2Auto32.7
27.2Teleop36.9
23.8Endgame17.2
43Consistency58
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 29 |
| teleop | 18 | 104 |
| endgame | 24 | 44 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 61 | 177 |
Result
Final score
61 – 177
Prediction correct · off by 50 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree