Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

58.1 – 64.71

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 35.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 289.5 ±11.7

4610BearTecs

Season APEX 22.7Event APEX 15.19Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 47.98Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2657Team Thundercats

Season APEX 35.7Event APEX -5.07Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.4 ±11.2

3035Droid Rage

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 50.75Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10518D.A.D.S

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX -2.04Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9034The Space Dolphins

Season APEX 40.6Event APEX 16Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4610, 5572, 2657

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4610, 5572, 2657

Auto

14.5 29%

Teleop

21.3 43%

Endgame

13.5 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3035, 10518, 9034

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3035, 10518, 9034

Auto

24.4 39%

Teleop

34.1 55%

Endgame

3.3 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.18 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score58.1pts

Blue projected score64.7pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.6
Score range: 44–79
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 194 vs event baseline 77.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

289.5Season APEX346.4

14.5Auto24.4

21.3Teleop34.1

13.5Endgame3.3

2Consistency135

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	26
teleop	28	72
endgame	20	20
foul	15	0
total	76	118

Result

Final score

76 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 35.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.