Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.1 – 92.09

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 7.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 215.4 ±10.4

8507Jagwire Robotics

Season APEX 77.6Event APEX 13.34Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3561RoboRaiders

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 44.42Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10518D.A.D.S

Season APEX 56.3Event APEX 9.34Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 187.5 ±12.2

8732Trinity Force

Season APEX 30.6Event APEX 18.12Rank 15Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3545Bots in Blue

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX 21.16Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3735VorTX

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 52.81Rank 4Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8507, 3561, 10518

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8507, 3561, 10518

Auto

20.9 33%

Teleop

27.0 42%

Endgame

15.7 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8732, 3545, 3735

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8732, 3545, 3735

Auto

22.6 27%

Teleop

44.4 53%

Endgame

16.6 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67.1pts

Blue projected score92.1pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -25
Score range: 51–108
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 174 vs event baseline 86.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

215.4Season APEX187.5

20.9Auto22.6

27Teleop44.4

15.7Endgame16.6

1Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	29
teleop	16	34
endgame	18	5
foul	15	30
total	76	98

Result

Final score

76 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 7.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree